Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.000125 0.000137 0.000151 0.000166 0.000183 0.000202 0.000223
2025-12-07 0.000103 0.000122 0.000143 0.000170 0.000203 0.000241 0.000290
2025-12-14 0.000086 0.000107 0.000133 0.000167 0.000211 0.000266 0.000342
2025-12-21 0.000073 0.000095 0.000123 0.000161 0.000213 0.000282 0.000382
2025-12-28 0.000066 0.000088 0.000118 0.000161 0.000223 0.000308 0.000438
2026-01-04 0.000060 0.000083 0.000115 0.000163 0.000233 0.000335 0.000497
2026-01-11 0.000055 0.000078 0.000110 0.000160 0.000237 0.000353 0.000546
2026-01-18 0.000051 0.000074 0.000108 0.000161 0.000246 0.000379 0.000608
2026-01-25 0.000047 0.000069 0.000103 0.000159 0.000249 0.000395 0.000658
2026-02-01 0.000044 0.000066 0.000101 0.000158 0.000256 0.000418 0.000720
2026-02-08 0.000040 0.000062 0.000097 0.000155 0.000257 0.000432 0.000769
2026-02-15 0.000037 0.000059 0.000093 0.000152 0.000258 0.000444 0.000815
2026-02-22 0.000036 0.000057 0.000092 0.000155 0.000269 0.000478 0.000909
2026-03-01 0.000034 0.000056 0.000091 0.000158 0.000282 0.000517 0.001019
2026-03-08 0.000031 0.000052 0.000088 0.000155 0.000283 0.000533 0.001086
2026-03-15 0.000029 0.000049 0.000083 0.000149 0.000279 0.000537 0.001129
2026-03-22 0.000027 0.000047 0.000082 0.000150 0.000287 0.000568 0.001233
2026-03-29 0.000026 0.000046 0.000080 0.000151 0.000296 0.000601 0.001349
2026-04-05 0.000025 0.000043 0.000078 0.000148 0.000298 0.000620 0.001434
2026-04-12 0.000024 0.000042 0.000077 0.000149 0.000306 0.000653 0.001559
2026-04-19 0.000022 0.000040 0.000074 0.000147 0.000307 0.000672 0.001649
2026-04-26 0.000021 0.000039 0.000073 0.000147 0.000313 0.000700 0.001772
2026-05-03 0.000020 0.000037 0.000071 0.000144 0.000313 0.000716 0.001861